Thursday, April 19, 2018

Fight picks for 4/21/2018

Big action packed Saturday of fights in England and the U.S. A really packed day of interesting fights     we have a comeback, title fights and Adrian Broner! It might be cold outside but the action in the ring should be hot hot hot.

Donaire vs Frampton- Arguably a must win for both fighters to stay relevant in the hot stove that is the 126 lb division. Neither are at their best at this weight and they are both coming off distance wins after losing the pieces of the title they had to Leo Santa Cruz (Frampton) and Jesse Magdaleno (Donaire). Donaire has had a better career in the ring and has beaten the better fighters. That being said he was beaten fairly handily by Guillmero Rigondeaux, knocked out brutally by Nicholas Walters, and had to go through a war with Cesar Juarez. He has some wear and tear on him and he might not have enough to beat a guy who in the past he would have run through. Frampton is a good fighter but he has never been a dominating force, he has great wins over Scott Quigg and Leo Santa Cruz but not much beyond that. After handing Santa Cruz his first loss in 2016 he turned right around and lost the title he took from him in the rematch. Still I think the fact that he is a younger, fresher fighter will be the difference here. I wouldn't be surprised if Donarie won but if it happens it will be by KO.

Pick- Frampton by close MD

Khan vs Lo Greco- Khan is coming back from a 2 year hiatus since being knocked out cold by Canelo Alvarez in a fight that saw him move up to 155. Lo Greco is a get well opponent for Khan, he is a solid fighter but he hasn't been able to make the step up in class. I think the big question here is does Khan still represent that class? In the past this would be a no doubter and on paper it still is, Khan has fought and beat opponents at a much higher level then Lo Greco and has a lot more natural ability than he does but is he the same fighter as pre Canelo Khan? 2 years is a long time out of the ring and he has always had a shaky chin. Could there be an upset in this fight, could we see Lo Greco get that career making win? Maybe but my heart says Khan is still too good for Lo Greco and he will come in here looking to prove to everyone that he is still relevant.

Pick- Khan by late stoppage.

Centeno vs Charlo- This is a huge mismatch no offense to Centeno but Charlo is a monster and I think he will make fairly quick work of Centeno. This could be a brief firefight or Centeno may lay back and try to survive the pressure from Charlo until he is finally caught. Either way I think that Charlo is going to stop Centeno he is just over matched in this fight and he won't be able to take the power shots of Charlo for a long time. Hopefully this fight is the set up for a fall clash between Charlo and current 154 king Hurd.

Pick- Charlo by KO early

Cuellar vs Davis- This is a fairly interesting matchup between the slugger Cuellar and the boxer-puncher Davis. Cuellar hasn't fought since a loss to Mares almost 2 years ago while Davis has been fighting and knocking people out at a busy rate. The factor that makes it interesting is Cuellars power and if it will have an effect on Davis if he is able to land any meaningful shots. Davis is a slick power punching southpaw who seems to be the next Floyd Mayweather in the making. He has a crowd pleasing style and is aggressive in the ring. He has been plagued by issues of not making weight and poor training discipline at the gym but that seems to be in the past. This should be a fun fight while it lasts but I think we will see Davis take Cuellar apart and stop him late.

Pick- Davis by late TKO

Vargas vs Broner- This was originally slated to be Broner vs Figueroa until Figueroa dropped out due to injury. Vargas stepped up and took the fight and that is how we have arrived to this main event. Broner is a fighter who has so many natural abilities it is frustrating that he has been less than the sum of his parts so far in the ring. Broner has never been able to get up to the next level of boxing that A grade of fighters. He has lost to all of the top fighters that he has faced and I believe that while Vargas is may not be a top level fighter he has enough talent here to shock Broner. Vargas has also lost to both top level fighter that he has faced but he showed more in those losses than Broner did in his. Vargas is motivated and seems to have found power in his right hand that has been previously lacking. He is hungry and I think he will show up and take this fight , it will be a war but I think he wants it more than Broner does. I'm going way out here but I think he will beat Broner.

Pick-Vargas by UD

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