Friday, August 24, 2018

Kyle’s boxing picks 8/25/2018

Preview
Ray Beltran- Jose Pedraza Lightweight World Title Saturday Night ESPN
-Very interesting fight between two veteran solid fighters. Even though this is a title fight I don’t think either guy is one of the top 3 or 4 lightweights in the world but that does not matter. They are both skilled and most importantly are evenly matched in my opinion. Pedraza is a former world champ at 130 who, after losing to Gervonta Davis, has moved up to 135 and won two straight. Beltran is a true veteran who gained a reputation by being one of Manny Pacquaio’s chief sparring partners for years. He has had some tough breaks in his career but has been on a roll since his last loss which was to Terrance Crawford. He has won 6 in a row against solid competition and finally won a world title. He is a guy who can punch and box and is very slick with his defense and a very good counterpuncher. He picked up a ton of tricks by sparring with the best in the world for so long and he uses them in the ring. I really love watching him fight because he is old school in his approach and just knows how to fight, mostly using good counterpunching and the type of defense where he will stand in front of you but still make himself hard to hit. 
Prediction-
I like both fighters and could see a scenario where Pedraza could pull off the upset. He’ll have to box a perfect fight and hope Beltran has slipped a little which is a possibility because Beltran has had a lot of tough fights in the ring and in the gym. But I have to go with Beltran. Pedraza’s last fight was very entertaining and was a good win for Pedraza but he got hit a little bit too much for my taste. Beltran can punch a little and once he figures you out and gets in a rhythm he is tough. Beltran by Unanimous Decision in a good, competitive fight early and RB will pull away in the later rounds. 

Opinions, news and notes
-If you are in the mood for a good read I have been through numerous solid boxing books over the past year or two. I just finished “The Lost Soul of Eammonn Magee”. Magee was a solid junior welterweight contender from Northern Ireland who fought Ricky Hatton, dropped him and gave him a very good fight when Hatton was at his best. His struggles with drugs and alcohol and also growing up Catholic during the “Troubles’ in Northern Ireland are all talked about at length in this book along of course with his boxing career. I highly recommend it. The second book is “Nigel Benn: The Dark Destroyer”. Benn was a super middleweight champion from England in the 80’s up through the 90’s. His war with Gerald Mcclellan and the tragedy of that fight is what he will be remembered for but he had many exciting good fights and an overall interesting life. Good, solid book. The third book is “The Fighting Frenchman” which is the biography of 70’s heavyweight contender Scott Ledoux. Very interesting book which goes over his early life, his very solid boxing career and his battles with ALS which ultimately took his life. Those are the first three but I will write about others in the next couple weeks. 

-It looks like we are about to have a big heavyweight title fight in America this November or December. Undefeated WBC heavyweight champ Deontay Wilder is set to fight undefeated former heavyweight champion Tyson Fury.. This is a very interesting fight for many reasons. Mostly because they are two very good heavyweights and also because Fury really knows how to sell a fight and is a total character. Ideally I would like to see Fury get another fight or two under his belt after his three year layoff but credit to him for having the guts to do this after only two wins in his comeback. I watched his ten round decision win last week against Francesco Pianeta and I thought he looked pretty good. I would’ve liked to see him get the KO but he boxed very well, showing angles, good combination punching and good defense. It doesn’t always look pretty but he is very athletic for a big man ( 6 feet 9 and 250 pounds) and is a guy who is very difficult to fight even though at times it looks like it should be easy work. He also has extreme confidence which helps at the top level. Wilder’s asset is obviously his huge power but he also has a good jab and the heart of a lion which he showed in his last fight against Luis Ortiz.  I am leaning right now towards Wilder by late rounds KO but I can definitely see scenarios where Fury could outbox him. Looking forward to this fight. 

-Another heavyweight contender fought last week on ESPN and looked pretty good. Bryant Jennings stopped Alexander Dimitrenko in the 10th of a good solid scrap. Jennings controlled most of the fight although he did take a good right hand and got dropped early. Look for Jennings to get a big fight next, depending on who it is I am not sure if he will win but he will always be in shape and give a solid effort.  Also on the card super middleweight contender Jesse Hart scored his third straight knockout win since his close loss for the title against Gilberto Ramirez by easily stopping Mike Gavronski. Hart is really pushing for a rematch with Ramirez and it looks like he may get it. Since they fought Ramirez has had a couple average performances, doing enough to win but nothing spectacular. Hart on the other hand has really looked good and seems to be on a mission. If they fight again I will go with Hart to get his revenge and win a world title by knocking out Gilberto Ramirez. 

-As great as it has been to get big time boxing back on cable TV with ESPN showing exciting world title fights I have one big problem. The announcing team is horrible. Tim Bradley was a great fighter but that does not always translate to being able to explain it well. Andre Ward, who is an excellent expert commentator is stuck in the studio only talking in between fights when he should be ringside doing Bradley’s job. Mark Kriegell is a journalist whose knowledge of boxing is very limited and almost just sounds like a casual fan trying to explain what is going on. And Joe Tessitore is the worst of the three. Thankfully they got rid of Stephen A Smith in the studio who I cringed listening to. There is nothing more dangerous than ignorance in action and Smith encompassed that when he talked boxing. He was totally clueless when it comes to boxing but spoke and acted like he was some kind of expert. He would just be totally incorrect on so many different things and when you have a huge audience watching on ESPN that is dangerous because most fans, especially casual ones, listen and think you know what you are talking about. ESPN should be able to do better with their announcing crew and hopefully they will soon. 

-There is still a lot of talk about a potential super fight between 135 pound world champion Mikey Garcia and 147 pound champion Errol Spence. Some people I have spoken with think Garcia is crazy to move up two weight divisions to fight one of the most avoided fighters of our generation. I am not one of them. I think this is a very good competitive fight. I think Spence wins but it will not be easy and good for Garcia to dare to be great which is an attitude that is sorely lacking in many of todays top fighters. You have to remember , up until the last 30 or 40 years if you were a lightweight world champ you had no choice but to move up to 147 pounds because there was no 140 pound weight class. Roberto Duran went from 135 to 147 and beat Sugar Ray Leonard. Carmen Basilio moved to 160 from 147 and beat Sugar Ray Robinson and he weighed in at 151 and gave up 9 pounds when they fought. Weight was not nearly as important to people years ago. Before there were so many (too many in my opinion) weight divisions fighters routinely moved up 10-15 pounds to try for another word title. So basically what Garcia is looking to do is not unprecedented and he should be given a ton of credit if it does happen. And he is such a special complete fighter that I think the chance for an upset is real although I do not think likely. Spence is also a special fighter and a good big man usually beats a good little man. If I have one criticism of Spence it is his level of competition. Going to England and stopping Kell Brook was very impressive but other than that he has not beaten a very high level of fighters, at least not any on the level of where he is at. Hopefully they sign the Garcia fight and it can be the start of watching Spence fight top level comp for the next 10 years. 













Friday, August 17, 2018

Kyle’s picks for 8/18/2018

Boxing on ESPN Saturday night at 10 pm ET
-Very interesting fight card Saturday on ESPN from Atlantic city. Good solid heavyweight main event with a strong undercard. 
-Bryant Jennings- Alexander Dimitrenko
This is an interesting heavyweight fight. Dimitrenko is a very big heavyweight, standing 6 feet 7. Impressive record at 41-3 with 26 KO’s. Unfortunately for him though every time he has stepped up he has gotten beat. A decision loss to fringe contender Eddie Chambers and stoppage losses to top heavyweights Kubrat Pulev and Joseph Parker. 
Jennings has maneuvered himself back into the heavyweight title picture with 4 straight wins since back to back losses against Wladimir Klitschko and Luis Ortiz. Undersized for a heavyweight, he makes up for it with good fundamentals and athleticism. 
Prediction- I see Jennings winning and doing it fairly easily. Dimitrenko is big but he is slow and Joseph Parker blew him out and I see Jennings doing it in similar fashion although it may take an extra couple rounds. 
Prediction-Jennings TKO 7

Jesse Hart-Mike Gavronski
-A good fight between top contender and former title challenger Jesse Hart and fringe contender Mike Gavronski. Hart’s only loss was a competitive decision one to world champ Gilberto Ramirez. Since then he has two KO wins against decent competition. A very big puncher who looks for the KO. 
Gavronski is a solid fighter who has built up a good record fighting mostly at home in the Tacoma, Washington area. He has two losses, one a decision loss to journeyman Dashon Johnson and also a decision loss to a very good Tureano Johnson in a fight where he jumped to an early lead but faded late. He is solid but in over his head here in my opinion. 
Prediction-Hart TKO 4

Christian Carto-Javier Gallo
-Carto was a top amateur out of Philly who has quickly built up a 15-0 record in the 122 pound division. The best part about his record is he has done it against real competition. Beating fighters with records like 12-1 and 14-1. He can punch but he also can box with that very good amateur background proving that. 
Gallo is another tough good opponent, the kind of guy a top prospect like Carto should beat but it probably won’t come very easy. Even though he has 15 losses, most of them are by decision against very good fighters. A win against a 35-3 fighter recently shows he is a live underdog. 
Caro very possibly is a future world champ thought so he should come out on top.
Prediction- Carto by unanimous decision. 

Saturday, August 4, 2018

Kyle’s boxing picks 8/4/2018

A lot of boxing this weekend on TV…

Saturday Fox Sports 2 5:30 pm  Luis Collazzo vs Bryant Perella
-This is a very interesting matchup. Collazzo is the veteran former world champ who has fought the best of this era. He is coming off a pretty long layoff but his last fight was a big knockout win against top prospect Sammy Vazquez. Perella is the young prospect who has had some impressive wins since his only loss, a knockout to former Cuban amateur star and contender Yordenis Ugas. I can’t fault Perella too much for that fight, his handlers did a horrible job of putting him in there with a crafty fighter like Ugas after only a handful of fights. That loss was a product of horrible matchmaking. I think Perella can fight but I feel again, this is a bad matchup for him. Collazo is a crafty southpaw, similar to Ugas. He is coming off a very good win and although he has had a layoff he has got to know a win here and he may get a title shot. 
Pick- Collazo by TKO in 10

Saturday Fox 730 pm Tripleheader
-Sergey Lippinets vs Erik Bone
Lippinets is a former world champion who lost his title to Mikey Garcia in a very competitive fight. Garcia hurt him but could not put him away and Lippinets had his moments and won some rounds which is saying a lot considering Garcia is a top pound for pound fighter in the world. Bone is a solid fighter, more than a journeyman but not quite a contender. He has fought several world class guys and while he has not beat any of them he always comes to fight and is competitive. Lippinets is at a different level though and is just coming into his prime.
Pick-Lippinets by Unanimous Decision

-Peter Quillin vs J’Leon Love
Quillin, the former world champ who lost his title by first round KO to Danny Jacobs several years ago is back in his first meaningful fight since that loss. Love has had a once promising career have too many starts and stops and this to me should be one of his final chances to make a real move. Quillin is the better fighter who has fought better guys but he has one fight since the Jacobs fight and that was off tv. It is very hard to tell what he has left. I still think it should be enough though. 
Pick-Quillin TKO 6

Andre Berto-Devon Alexander
This is an interesting main event. Two of the top guys over the past 10 years finally meet, although it probably is a year or two too late. I sense a very competitive fight though but I just think Alexander has more left in the tank. Berto was one of the most exciting fighters of the past decade, wars with guys like Robert Guerrero, Jesus Soto Karass and Luis Collazzo cemented that reputation. These fights take something out of a fighter though and in his last fight he took a pretty good beating from Shawn Porter. Alexander is coming off a draw with Victor Ortiz in a fight most thought he clearly won. Alexander is the better boxer and he is a hard guy to stop. A couple years ago I may have picked Berto but not today. 
Pick-Alexander by Decision

HBO Saturday Night Doubleheader
-Dmitry Bivol-Isaac Chilemba
Bivol in my opinion is the best light heavy in the world and I believe over the next year he will get the fights to prove it. Chilemba has been a fringe contender for several years and while he has been competitive at the top level he has never really been able to win there.  A bad stoppage loss two fights ago seemed to be the end of him but he came back and in his last fight beat 26-2 Blake Capparello which propelled him to this fight. Chilemba is crafty and is a tough guy to stop but I think Bivol will do it.
Pick-Bivol TKO 9

Sergey Kovalev- Elidier Alvarez
Very interesting fight. Alvarez has been waiting for his big opportunity for a while now. Good wins over Lucian Bute and Jean  Pascal have gotten him here. He is a very good fighter who will be competitive with anyone in the division. Kovalev’s accomplishments speak for themselves and while the Andre Ward rematch was a bad loss he has bounced back with two wins against solid guys although in his last fight it looked like he may be moving towards the back end of his career. At his best Kovalev beats Alvarez but Im not sure if he is at his best anymore. Alvarez has been waiting for this opportunity and should be hungry. This is a tough fight to call. I am going to take a shot and go with the upset in a back and forth fight. 
Pick-Alvarez by split decision 

Kyle and Alex boxing picks for 2/22/2020

Wilder-Fury 2 One of the more anticipated heavyweight championship fights of the past twenty years is finally here. After thinking we ...