Thursday, October 18, 2018

Kyle’s boxing picks 10/18/2018

Thursday October 18 ESPN
Jason Quigley (14-0) vs Freddy Hernandez (34-9) NABF Middleweight Title

-Boxing is back on ESPN with a Thursday night card featuring an interesting main event. Jason Quigley is an undefeated prospect out of Ireland who now trains in California. Hernandez is the older veteran who has been in there with the best and always fought tough but is now moving towards the end of his career. 
In only 14 pro fights Quigley has been moved pretty quickly, already owning good wins over tough fighters such as Glenn Tapia, Jorge Melendez and James De La Rosa. He’s shown good power with overall good skills. At one time Hernandez would’ve been a significant step up for Quigley but now it is probably a small step up. He is 39 years old and is coming off a loss and has not fought for 10 months. In his defense the loss was a competitive one, losing a decision to fringe contender Wale Amotoso. 
Several things will be working against Hernandez here on top of the age factor and layoff. He campaigned the majority of his career at 154 pounds so he is the naturally smaller guy here. And more importantly, he has been very susceptible to cuts. Years of tough fights have made the skin around his eyes very fragile and he has bled in almost all of the fights I have seen him in. Make no mistake about it, Hernandezo is getting brought in here as the opponent and Quigley is the A side and expected to win. I suspect that Hernandez, if he is still motivated, can give Quigley a test in the sense that he is tough and can put some pressure on and will use his experience and ruggedness to show Quigley some things he has not seen yet in his pro career. I am not sure how many rounds he can win but  I feel his only chance at winning will be to try and roughen up Quigley and stretch him into the later rounds. I do not see that happening though. I think Quigley will box well and begin to bust up Hernandez after 3 or 4. Hernandez’s skin will betray him again and the blood on top of losing round after round will force a stoppage somewhere around 6. 

Prediction-
Quigley TKO 6

-We will have a blog entry previewing the fights from Boston on DAZN for this Saturday by Friday. Demetrius Andrade headlines with a solid undercard. 

-The new deal that DAZN just struck with Canelo is very big for them. And do not be surprised at all if after Danny Jacobs last fight for HBO on Oct 27 happens that he is the next to sign with them. His promoter is Eddie Hearn who is the driving force behind DAZN and with HBO getting out of boxing Jacobs will be a free agent. Maybe that could set up a Canelo-Jacobs fight for next year. Canelo has to get past Rocky Fielding on Dec 15 and Jacobs has to get past Sergey Deravyenchenko on Oct 27. Jacobs is in the much tougher fight of the two so we will wait to see what happens. Go to DAZN.com to check out the site. So far I have been using it and I really like it. The quality of the picture is very good and the site is very user friendly , totally unlike ESPN’s streaming service ESPN+ which to me is horrible, not in the quality of fights but in trying to navigate around the site. It is virtually impossible to find the fights on ESPN+ unless you watch them as they are happening. If you miss a fight on DAZN you literally can find it in 20 seconds and start watching. 

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